Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Dems may lose 55 Seats in the House

218 Seats Needed For Majority (from Real Clear Politics)

Dems may lose 55 seats: 31 (toss-ups) + 24 (lean Rep)

Likely Dem (+1)
AR4 CA20 CA47
GA12 GA2 GA8
IL17 KY3 LA2
MA6 ME1 MN1
MO3 MS4 NC7
NM3 NY25 OH6
OK2 OR1 TX27
UT2 WA2 WA9

Leans Dem (+2)
AZ1 CA18 CO3
CO7 CT4 CT5
DE-AL HI1 IA3
ID1 IL14 IL8
IN2 KY6 MI9
NC11 NC2 NJ12
NJ3 NY20 OR5
PA10 PA17 PA4
TN4 TX23 WI3
WI8 WV3

Toss Up (31D, 1R)
AL2 AR1 AZ5
AZ8 CA11 FL2
FL22 FL24 FL8
IL10 IN9 MA10
MI1 MO4 NM1
NY1 NY13 NY19
NY23 NY24 OH13
OH18 PA12 PA3
PA8 SC5 VA11
VA2 VA9 WA3
WI7 WV1

Leans GOP (+24)
AR2 CO4 IL11
IN8 KS3 MD1
MI7 MS1 NC8
ND-AL NH1 NH2
NM2 NV3 NY29
OH1 OH15 OH16
PA11 PA15 PA6
PA7 SD-AL TN8
TX17 VA5 WA8

Likely GOP (+2)
AL5 AZ3 CA3
CA45 FL25 LA3
MN6 NE2 OH12
TN6

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